So what causes the rise and fall of crime?
Quite why crime rose inexorably from World War II until 1995 and then started falling is a question that still puzzles criminologists.
Because crime didn't just fall in the UK. It fell in almost every developed Western nation from pretty much the same time.
It fell in Canada and in the United States - even though those two countries operate very different criminal justice policies. It fell in Scandinavia and fell along the shores of the Mediterranean. It fell in Australia and fell in Iceland.
The legalisation of abortion.
I bet it has far more to do with reporting habits and recording methods than anything else.
That is assuming they are talking about all crime. There is bound to be a shift of numbers between types of crime as society changes. I'm pretty sure the number of horse thefts will have dropped along with the number of horses in everyfay use for instance.
Nar its abortion honest, I love these forums lately.
But the blog by 'Inspector Gadget' ( ) has some ideas on why crime statistics are going down, and also suggests that Mr Blunkett's theories on neighborhood policing may be very wrong.
Then again it probably is the legalisation of abortion.